LSU vs. Florida State odds, prediction, betting trends for Week 1 Berklee College of Music clothes Sunday matchup
Florida State takes on LSU in the Allstate Louisiana Kickoff on Sunday at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans.
Game time is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. The matchup will be televised on ABC.
Florida State (1-0) opened Mike Norvell's third season as head coach with a 47-7 blowout victory against Duquesne. The Seminoles rushed for 406 yards and six TDs in that dress rehearsal game where quarterback Jordan Travis didn't have to show too much. The defense allowed 164 yards.
LSU opens a new chapter with first-year coach Brian Kelly, who abruptly left Notre Dame at the end of the 2020 season. Kelly is an interesting fit in Baton Rouge, La., and this season starts with a quarterback controversy. We won't know whether Jayden Da Colorado College Tigers Jerseys niels or Garrett Nussmeier will take the first snap for the Tigers until game time.
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These teams haven't met since a home-and-home series in 1990-91. The Seminoles led the all-time series 7-2 and have won the last four meetings.
Here's everything to know about betting on the Week 1 opener matchup between the Seminoles and Tigers:
Florida State vs. LSU odds
- Spread: LSU -3
- Over/under: 51.5
- Moneyline: LSU -161, Florida State +133 (Caesars Sportsbook)
The line opened at four points, and it has dropped down a full point, perhaps because of the uncertainty at quarterback for LSU.
Three trends to know
— Florida State is 4-10 S/U as an underdog under Norvell since 2020, but they are 7-7 ATS in those games. The Seminoles were 3-5 S/U as underdogs last season.
— This is a close-to-home game for the Tigers. LSU is 14-5 S/U in the Caesars Superdome, and that includes a 10-2 S/U record in regular-season games.
— The Seminoles had three losses by three points last season, including the thrilling Labor Day opener against Notre Dame – a 41-38 overtime loss. Kelly, of course, was the Irish's coach in that game. Notre Dame vs. USC Rivalry Jerseys
Three things to watch
— W Cal Poly Mustangs shirt ho is LSU's QB? Kelly would not announce the Tigers' starting quarterback and cited Texas vs. Oklahoma Rivalry shirt a "tactical advantage." Arizona State transfer Jayden Daniels and redshirt freshman Garrett Nussmeier could both see time as a result against a Florida State secondary that has a game under its belt. Running back John Emery also has a two-game suspension, meaning Penn State transfer Noah Cain should get the early Cheyney Wolves clothes touches in the backfield. That is a lot of pieces for new offensive coordinator Mike Denbrock to figure out, so the Tigers might be conservative early.
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— FSU's ground support. We mentioned the 406 rushing yards against Duquesne. The Seminoles averaged 7.1 yards per carry, and Treshaun Ward (1 Alabama Crimson Tide clothes 27 yards, 2 TDs), Lawrance Toafili (101 yards, TD) and Trey Benson ( Dixie State Trailblazers clothes 105 yards, TD) all were in on the action. A strong running game would keep Travis comfortable, and LSU has a talented front seven led by edge rusher BJ Ojulari and linebacker Mike Jones Jr.
— Turnover battle. In close games, it's going to come down to the turnovers. Florida State (-1) and LSU (-3) both lost double-digit fumbles last season, and that will be a factor in this game more than interceptions. Which team comes UNC vs. Duke Rivalry shirt up with that loose ball at the right time?
Stat that matters
Gerry DiNardo was the last LSU coach to lose his debut, though it was a 33-17 road loss to No. 3 Texas A&M on Sept. 2, 1995. Nick Saban, Les Miles and Ed Orgeron all won their first games, and there is pressure on Kelly to get the Tigers Michigan vs. Ohio State Rivalry Gear back in the right direction – which hasn't happened since the national championship season in 2019. There are a lot of unknowns when it comes to the Tigers, and BK did win his first game at Cincinnati and Notre Dame.
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Florida State vs. LSU prediction
If Daniels does indeed start, then this is a wonderful chance for him to get his career back on track. He'll find a comfortable target in Kayshon Boutte, who will score two TDs and help LSU build a one-score halftime lead. Norvell will stay patient in the running game, however, and Travis will keep that game at one score into the fourth quarter. It's a tough call and the drop in points is alarming, but we're going to stick with the Tigers in a TD victory. The Kelly era gets off to the right start.
Final score: LSU 31, Florida State 24